At 08:30:29 UTC the castle roulette wheel stopped on the 48x coin, which comes up about once every 47 spins. Nine players had money on that round. Geezy1010 had a little over $3,200 on the 48x alone.
The 48x coin pays 48 times the stake, so that came to roughly $155,000. Take away the rest of what they put on that spin and it came to +$143,900 in one round. From the outside it looked like the house lost a day's worth of profit in half a minute, and on the analytics chart the castle line nearly doubles in a single hour.
The dashed line is the real story. Take out four usernames and the other 558 castle players spent the whole day within a few thousand dollars of break-even, and they were just $3,370 up at 13:00, next to nothing compared with the four. Half an hour later they were down $7,914. The +$150k is not a trend. It is a handful of very large bets that happened to land.
How much he was betting before it hit
Geezy1010 first showed up the evening before, at 18:11 UTC on September 22: one spin, $1,411 spread over the 16x, 24x and 48x coins. It missed. They didn't bet on castle again for fourteen hours.
At 08:26 the next morning they came back with the same plan: only the three long-shot coins. In twenty rounds they never put a dollar on the 2x, 4x or 8x. The first spin, $2,650 with about $1,175 on 48x, landed 48x straight away and paid +$53,754.
Most people would stop there. Geezy1010 raised the stake instead: $4,854, then $5,756 three times, $6,094, then $8,124 twice. None of them hit. In about three minutes, seven straight misses took $44,463 of the first win back, and they were down to about +$7,900 on the day.
Their next bet, placed at 08:30:09, was their biggest so far: $11,281, with $4,738 on 16x, $3,311 on 24x and $3,233 on 48x. Twenty seconds later the wheel came up 48x again, the second 48x in four minutes.
Two 48x spins in four minutes. The odds of that are long, and Geezy1010 was on both of them.
| Bet placed (UTC) | Result | Staked | Round P&L | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22 18:11 | 4x | $1,411 | −$1,411 | −$1,411 |
| 08:26:05 | 48x | $2,650 | +$53,754 | +$52,342 |
| 08:26:38 | 8x | $4,854 | −$4,854 | +$47,489 |
| 08:27:11 | 2x | $5,756 | −$5,756 | +$41,733 |
| 08:27:35 | 2x | $5,756 | −$5,756 | +$35,977 |
| 08:28:07 | 4x | $5,756 | −$5,756 | +$30,221 |
| 08:28:42 | 2x | $6,094 | −$6,094 | +$24,127 |
| 08:29:04 | 4x | $8,124 | −$8,124 | +$16,003 |
| 08:29:40 | 2x | $8,124 | −$8,124 | +$7,879 |
| 08:30:09 | 48x | $11,281 | +$143,900 | +$151,779 |
| 08:30:40 | 4x | $10,529 | −$10,529 | +$141,250 |
| 08:31:11 | 4x | $18,366 | −$18,366 | +$122,885 |
| 08:31:34 | 2x | $25,582 | −$25,582 | +$97,302 |
| 08:32:14 | 4x | $25,582 | −$25,582 | +$71,720 |
| 08:35:37 | 8x | $5,625 | −$5,625 | +$66,094 |
| 10:11–10:16 | 5 spins, no hit | $5,016 | −$5,016 | +$61,078 |
Then he gave most of it back
When that 48x landed at 08:30:29, Geezy1010 was up $151,779 on castle roulette. That is the peak you can see on the chart, and it didn't last.
The stakes kept rising after the win: $10,529, then $18,366, then $25,582 twice, more than twice the size of the bet that won. The wheel went 4x, 4x, 2x, 4x. By 08:32 the profit was down to about $72,000, and one last $5,625 spin at 08:35 also missed. In five spins and five and a half minutes, $85,685 went back to the house.
They came back at 10:11 with much smaller bets: two test spins of $1 and $9, and three of about $1,500 to $1,850, and lost five more in a row before stopping at 10:16. Final result for the day: +$61,078. That's still a very good day, but it's well under half of what they had at 08:30.
The other three names on the chart
Geezy1010 wasn't alone. Three other high rollers each moved the line by $25,000 or more:
- +$31.6kmoneymanice
Was down about $59,000 by mid-morning, then hit 48x on round 982362 at 09:45 with bets spread over five coins. That round alone paid about +$82,000, the second jump on the chart.
- +$29.6kCastleRaskle
A 36-minute session from 12:05 to 12:41 UTC, mostly big bets on the safe 2x and 4x coins. It's the last climb from about $121k to the $150k peak.
- +$25.2khdhshJdhdh
Played the evening before, 21:04 to 22:11 UTC, almost all on 2x and 4x. One $5,300 bet on 4x landed, for +$15,900. It's the first step up on the chart.
Between them the four finished +$147,484. By 13:30 UTC, with no more big wins, castle's 24-hour number had already slipped back to about +$139,600.